3/8/2021

Mar 08, 2021


3/8/2021
Trade was strongly higher from the start Sunday night, with new contract highs in beans after the May bean contract gapped 8 cents higher at the open following a weekend of heavy rains in the north and central regions of Brazil, creating further delays for an already slow harvest.  New crop corn also set a contract high of 485'6.  It's important to maintain a skeptical approach to crop news out of S. America but it seems as though the seriousness of the situation is increasing with the excessive moisture forcing some farmers to abandon unharvested fields and raising concerns over quality in beans that can be harvested.  There are some production estimates due out this week and it will be interesting to see how they analyze the situation.  Two week forecast models show plentiful precipitation falling over Brazil production areas.  Weekly export inspections were on target with 1,545k tonnes of corn inspected and 588k tonnes of beans inspected.  The USDA also revised the prior week's volume of inspected corn, increasing the number by 25% to 2,050k tonnes.  Corn and beans both finish the day higher but well off of their highs.  The March WASDE report is set to be released at 11am tomorrow morning.  Trade is expecting the USDA to trim down the carryouts for both corn and soybeans. 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...