4/12/2022

Apr 12, 2022


4/12/2022
It’s that time of year when the market begins paying close attention to U.S. planting progress.  We have very little room for error with this year's crop and the weekly report showed that U.S. corn planting did not advance from the previous week's report.  Corn planting progress in the U.S. remained at 2% complete (4% year ago, 3% avg.)  Spring wheat planting was seen at 6% complete (3% week prior, 10% year ago, 5% avg).  The winter wheat condition was rated at 32% good/excellent, a slight improvement but well behind last year's 53% g/e on the same week.  There are large amounts of precipitation forecasted for the winter wheat areas this week.  The USDA does not report planting progress for soybeans this early.  Weather outlooks for 10-14 days still show below average temperatures but with today's standard equipment including 300+ horsepower tractors taking 60–90-foot planter passes near 10 mph; the crop will get planted fast once it's fit to go.  It's always "buy the rumor, sell the fact."  The U.S. Department of Labor said the Consumer Price Index jumped 8.5% in March from 12 months earlier.  This largest year-over-year increase since 1981.  Inflation also rose 1.2% February to March. 

Highest close on a July corn contract since September of 2012.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...