4/18/2022

Apr 18, 2022


4/18/2022
Most commodities were strongly higher to begin a new week following a 3-day break from the market.  Money had new energy today with cold temps and winter like weather persisting across the grain belt, keeping planters parked.  Also adding fuel to the fire was a fresh Russian offensive in Ukraine where it is now expected that 40% of the wheat will not be harvested and an estimated 36% of total corn production area is considered to be inside "dangerous" regions.  Weekly export inspections were within their estimated ranges last week with 1.139 mln tonnes of corn, 973k tonnes of soybeans, and 432k tonnes of wheat inspected for shipment last week.  Corn shipments are 12 million bushels behind the pace needed to reach the USDA target versus 9 million bushels short last week.  Soybean shipments are 44 million bushels behind the pace needed to reach the USDA target versus 68 million bushels the previous week.  Traders will look to see if corn planting advanced in this afternoon's progress report.  More seasonal weather looks to finally make an appearance for many areas during the back half of this week but it also looks like the warmer temps will spark some consistent rain fall at the same time.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...