4/20/2021

Apr 20, 2021


4/20/2021
Corn and beans are now off the July futures.  Those of you with basis contracts left in the May need to be priced or rolled by mid next week.  Corn and beans rolled to new highs again today as both corn and beans remain well supported.  Farmer movement remains slow for now as we approach $6 cash corn and $14.50 cash beans.  Make sure you are taking advantage of these prices.  Can we go higher?  I think we can, but I would continue to scale up slowly on what you have left to price for old crop.  These are prices we don't want to miss out on.  Basis has improved drastically as movement is slow and the farmer hits the field, so that creates more opportunity.  It does not feel like we are stopping demand and slowing uses at these levels, so we continue to search for a price level that will.  Buckle in for a wild summer.  New crop movement has picked up some as we think about planting and see $4.80 cash corn and 12.35 cash beans for new crop bids.  It is a big discount to old crop, but is worth a look to lock in some margins.  Continue to scale up on sales and your average price should look good when this all shakes out.  
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.