4/20/2023

Apr 20, 2023


Today was another very quiet day in the grain markets as basically the entire screen was red.  Export sales this morning was very poor.  New crop corn was the only exception. The renewed shipping of grain out of Ukraine continues to pull wheat markets lower and corn is the follower.  Beans are lower on more weakness to the Brazil premiums as their crop seems to keep getting bigger by the day.  As the markets broke lower the last couple days, farmer engagement has shut off completely and the focus now turns to the planting season ahead.  Hopefully the weather warms up next and allows some progress.  For those of you with May basis contracts, we have until the 27th of May to clean them up.  High volatility will continue in the May futures, so be careful and pay close attention.  We are playing with a double-edged sword at this point with spreads.  

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...