4/26/2022

Apr 26, 2022


4/26/2022
Soybeans and soy oil rebounded early, following crude oil's bounce back.  After trading 17-21 higher, strength faded throughout the session and the July and August 2022 flipped lower.  New crop beans regained the 1500'0 futures level and closed a couple cents above that mark.   Corn traded 7-12 higher and was able to hold a good portion of those gains in the deferred months.  The USDA made two sale announcements at 8 a.m. this morning that included 132,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to China during the 2022/23 marketing year and 133,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown split roughly 60/40 between the 2021/22 and 2022/23 marketing years.  The weekly crop progress report is what provided the strength we saw in corn today.  Corn planting was seen at 7% complete versus a 15% average.  Trade is putting a premium on the market assuming maximum yield potential is lost.  We are finally seeing some more seasonally appropriate temperatures creeping their way into extended forecasts but most are 8-10 days out, yet.  Reports indicate Ukraine is continuing to plod along in their planting season with progress at a steady pace with 21% of the crop planted.  Their total crop estimates continue to increase with a 70-80% planted figure now in the cards but the question that remains is how will they get it shipped.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...