4/4/2024

Apr 04, 2024


Thursday's session was a long, slow grind for corn, soybeans, and wheat.  Corn bounced around, ranging from 2 lower to 3 higher throughout the day.  Soybeans were steady on the higher side throughout the overnight and traded out to 4 cents higher but were immediately sold off at the 8:30 re-opening where they spent most of the remainder of the session.  A late push found a 1-3 cent higher finish for corn and a mixed finish for soybeans.  Mexico continues to add purchases of U.S. grain for the current marketing year.  This morning, the USDA confirmed the sale of 152,404 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Mexico during the 2023/24 marketing year.  The weekly export sales report did not give us much to work with to push us higher.  Corn was within expectations but on the low-end at 948k tonnes sold last week.  Soybean sales were a miss at 194k tonnes.  The combination of slowing sales and shipments for soybean exports means we will need the crush side to continue to take as many bushels as they can handle to meet the current USDA ending stocks that are forecasted.  A concern with South American production would also be a benefit.  

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Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time.