4/4/2024

Apr 04, 2024


Thursday's session was a long, slow grind for corn, soybeans, and wheat.  Corn bounced around, ranging from 2 lower to 3 higher throughout the day.  Soybeans were steady on the higher side throughout the overnight and traded out to 4 cents higher but were immediately sold off at the 8:30 re-opening where they spent most of the remainder of the session.  A late push found a 1-3 cent higher finish for corn and a mixed finish for soybeans.  Mexico continues to add purchases of U.S. grain for the current marketing year.  This morning, the USDA confirmed the sale of 152,404 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Mexico during the 2023/24 marketing year.  The weekly export sales report did not give us much to work with to push us higher.  Corn was within expectations but on the low-end at 948k tonnes sold last week.  Soybean sales were a miss at 194k tonnes.  The combination of slowing sales and shipments for soybean exports means we will need the crush side to continue to take as many bushels as they can handle to meet the current USDA ending stocks that are forecasted.  A concern with South American production would also be a benefit.  

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...