4/7/2022

Apr 07, 2022


4/7/2022
Nothing noteworthy has changed in our fundamentals over the past 24 hours but corn and soybeans were the beneficiary of a large money flow back in.  Weekly export sales were extremely vanilla and dead center of the trading estimate ranges with 782k tonnes of corn and 800k tonnes of soybeans sold.  CONAB released their April production estimates for Brazil corn and soy with an increase in corn (115.6 mmt, +3.3 mmt from Mar) and a slight cut in soy (122.4 mmt, -0.4 mmt from Mar).  Tomorrow, we get our April WASDE report from the USDA and it's expected to be a quiet one with small cuts in U.S. ending stocks and changes in Brazil production similar to those from CONAB.  Next month, the USDA will release its first supply and demand numbers for the 2022 crop and that will likely get more attention than tomorrow's report.  In a show of incredible market strength, new crop soybeans are now trading back near levels seen prior to last week's planting intentions report.  That report was extremely bearish for soy and now the effect it had on the market can be read as neutral.  Reminder: Glacial Plains will be close next Friday, April 15 in observance of Good Friday.  The grain markets will also be closed that day.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...