4/9/2021

Apr 09, 2021


4/9/2021
Corn got exactly what it was looking for today on the report, but had a hard time reacting bullish because we were up big yesterday and made new highs this morning before the report.  Corn carryout came in at 1.352 billion, which was below the 1.4 billion estimates.  Exports were up 75 million, which was expected even though some traders thought it should have been more.  Feed up 50 million and ethanol up 25 million.  The 1.352 billion puts the stocks to use ratio at 9.15%.  As I mentioned corn did trade 15 cents higher on the front end off the report, but it was merely in the blink of an eye.  Long term corn should remain well supported.  World corn stocks were about as expected at 283.85 million tonnes vs a guess of 284.82. Beans were rather uneventful on the report.  Carryout was left unchanged at 120 million bushel.  They cut the crush number by 10 million bushel, but raised exports by 30 million bushels.  The trade got exactly what it expected on beans and we reacted slightly lower with the futures today.  Beans should also remain well supported.  World bean stocks were slightly bearish at 86.87 million tonnes vs a guess of 83.52.
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...