Grain > Commentary > 5-11-2022

5/11/2022

May 11, 2022

5/11/2022
Corn, soybeans, and wheat all posted double-digit gains one day ahead of our monthly WASDE report.  The July contract for corn settled the day near the middle of the range traded over the past two weeks, July soybeans settled on the low end of its 3-month trading range.  With soybean acres already increased 3% year-over-year in our March planting intentions report and corn plantings becoming further delayed, farmers may turn more acres to soybeans.  Front end contracts are already flirting with some major support levels and if no big headlines can rejuvenate the soy market nor the USDA provides anything fresh to boost the values, July soybeans could be heading towards the 1525'0-1550'0 area.  A sizeable move lower in soybean futures would likely see basis improve with processors already collecting excellent margins in the crush.  Weekly ethanol showed output up 22,000 barrels/day to 991,000 bpd and stocks up 253,000 barrels to 24.14 mln bbls.  After today, the forecast shows an excellent possibility of a 7-day window for field work coming together and is probably all we need to get the necessary corn acres in. 
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3/31/2025
Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
3/11/2025
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
8/30/2024
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...