5/11/2023

May 11, 2023


Pressure from several different angles held corn in the red for the entire session on Thursday.  Russia had been the most stubborn, yet, about renewing the Black Sea corridor until today when they finally gave the green light to another 60-day window.  Brazil's CONAB increased their production estimates for this year to 154.8 mln tonnes of soybeans (125.5 mln last year) and 125.5 mln tonnes of corn (113.1 mln last year).  Some nice rains have also been observed this week in areas that have completed corn planting that include eastern Kansas, southern Nebraska, and most of Iowa and Illinois.  Weekly export sales were mostly within expectations but lent no help to the market today, either.  Wheat missed low at 26k tonnes of sales while corn and soybeans basically did just enough to avoid negative sales with 257k of corn and 62k tonnes of soybeans sold.  This did not include the corn cancellation announcement from earlier this week.  All this combined with an unrelenting planting pace held the market down today.  Tomorrow, the USDA will give us our May WASDE numbers but we may have already priced a negative report into the market, at this point.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...