5/16/2022

May 16, 2022


5/16/2022
Riding the coattails of limit higher trade in wheat, corn and soybeans posted large gains to start our week.  After gapping higher on the open, corn finished the day 9-28 higher and soybeans 2-13 higher.  Weekly export inspections for corn were on the lower side of the trade range at 1.037 million tonnes inspected and soybeans on the upper end of their range at 784k tonnes inspected.  Corn export shipments exceed the pace needed to meet the USDA target by 57 million bushels, soybean shipments fall short by 35 million bushels but improved from a 48-million-bushel deficit the previous week.  Trade will be anxious to see where the USDA puts corn planting percentage at in this afternoon's weekly progress report.  Estimates range from 43-58% with an average of 49%.  This would be a nice bump from last week's 22% and get us back within spitting distance of the 5-year average, which is 67% for this week.  Estimates for soybean planting progress this week average 29% with a range of 25-36%.  This would also be a nice increase from last week's progress report and keep us easily within reach of the 39% 5-year average.  A lot of wheels turning in our territory today, let's hope the rain in the forecast stays away.

Crude Oil/Corn comparison
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...