5/5/2022

May 05, 2022


5/5/2022
Large, double-digit moves higher in wheat resulted in spillover support for corn and soybeans.  Soybeans traded 20-27 higher on the day but finished well off of their highs, being brought back down to earth by the soy oil and meal trade.  Weekly export sales for corn were on target with 783k tonnes of old crop and 738k tonnes of new crop sold last week.  Old crop soybean sales outperformed estimates with 735k tonnes sold and new crop soybean sales were within range with 407k tonnes sold.  Total soybean sales exceed the amount necessary to meet the USDA forecast but it still needs to be shipped.  There were no 8 a.m. announcements from the USDA this morning.  The big move in wheat today was driven by poor crop ratings, delayed seeding of spring wheat, and problems with wheat exports and production in India.  Overall, it's more about RISK to wheat production than actual issues. 
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...