5/5/2023

May 05, 2023


Gains across most markets today with corn and soybeans trading higher in solid fashion to end the week.  Corn was consistent in setting intraday highs throughout the session while soybeans traded steady in the range of 6-18 cents higher, closing just a penny or two under today's highs.  Once again, wheat lead the charge, finishing the day with double digit gains of 15-34 cents.  The funds and managed money had positioned themselves net short and it appears they maybe got squeezed out of their own position.  None the less, it’s nice to see some positive trade.  Seasonally, we should see the Dec corn contract rally going into June and Nov soybeans rally going into July.  There are already some serious drought and soil moisture concerns in Eastern Nebraska.  If we are able to turn this into a weather market (again), we could be seeing the beginning of a sustained rally.  Forecasts continue to show a mostly wide-open window for planting and I expect Monday's progress report will likely see our largest percentage increase in planting completion so far for the year.

Looks like we are set up nicely for a correction that will fall in line with the seasonal trends.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...