6/2/2021

Jun 02, 2021


6/2/2021
After touching limit up on Tuesday, corn trade was two-sided overnight and gave way to profit taking during the day session to finish 13 lower on the day.  Soybeans found good buying support in the forecasted weather showing record heat and little-to-no precipitation over the next 6-10 days.  Apparently, it’s only going to rain on the US corn fields?  This highly volatile, weather market trade can be frustrating, especially considering how often we hear that Brazil's bean crop continues to grow and their second corn crop continues to shrink.  Apparently, it only rained on Brazil's bean fields?  The easy-out for corn's down day was the initial corn crop rating for the year put out by the USDA, which showed a 76% good/excellent rating and only 4% poor/very poor.  Trade was expecting a 70% g/e rating but history shows that the USDA likes to tell us the crop looks good at the beginning of June.  The report also showed that we are 95% planted, 81% emerged on corn; well ahead of the 5-year averages.  Soybeans will have their first condition rating in next week's crop progress report but they were shown as 84% planted, 62% emerged; 17-20% ahead of the 5-year averages.  More estimates for corn acres planted in the June report are adding large numbers of corn acres while keeping bean acres steady.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...