6/20/2024

Jun 20, 2024


The mid-week holiday gives the market a second case of the Mondays this week. After some recovery in the previous session, the grain complex just could not find a footing on Thursday. Wheat and soybeans were hit the hardest with double-digit losses on the day. With nothing supportive to lean on, that was the writing on the wall for corn for the day which was trading 10 lower in the final 15 minutes of the session. The sell-off over the past two weeks has taken out a fair amount of the potential downside in next week's acres and quarterly stocks reports. Once we consider the conditions some of this crop was planted in, the potential for prevent plant, and get a better idea on current moisture conditions (dry or saturated), trade may not be able to beat the market down much more going into this report.

Today we saw a yearly low for Nov 24 soybeans and a multi-year low for the November contract month.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...