6/22/2022

Jun 22, 2022


6/22/2022
Corn traded mixed and soybeans were down hard in corrective action following crude oil's lead. Crude traded as much as $8 lower with the September contract seeing sub-$100 trade and stabilized around -$3.80/barrel at the midday point. This was extremely negative for soy oil trade and damaged crush margins severely, soybeans were forced sharply lower. With export sales slowing, soybeans and corn have been partially supported by the energy markets. Weekly crop ratings posted a 2% decline in good/excellent in both corn and soybeans with corn conditions now at 70% g/e and soybeans at 68%. Probably what's more important here is the percentage scored as poor/very poor. Both corn and soybeans have 5% of the crop currently in this category which means 95% of the crop is average or better. The USDA has been quiet at 8 a.m. so far this week. Weekly export inspections for corn, soybeans, and wheat were all in line with expectations with 1.184 mln tonnes of corn, 427k tonnes of soybeans, and 331k tonnes of wheat inspected for shipment.

August Soybeans blasted through their 100-day average after finding support their yesterday. I expect some corrective buying to come in soon. The 1530’0 may become an important spot on the chart with our 3 previous significant lows right there.
bean-chart.png

Read More News

Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...