6/3/2021

Jun 03, 2021


6/3/2021
The market found some strength overnight, with corn 10 cents and soybeans 27 cents higher at one point, but was sold-off immediately at the 8:30 open this morning and couldn't recover.  On modest volume and declining open interest, trading ranges were fairly large, as well, with a 32-cent spread in July corn and 46 cent window in July soybeans.  Fundamentals remain unchanged and our markets remain subject to money flow in and out.  Basis slips as we continue on towards the new crop delivery period as end users continue to gain coverage.  The rejuvenation in the market over the past week has given growers another opportunity to reward themselves with seldom seen prices and it’s probably best to take a historically good cash price over trying to pick highs.  New crop for 2022 should be given a hard look, as well.  We are one week out from our June WASDE report but trade hasn't given it much attention as most eyes are on next week's weather and the USDA acres numbers due out at the end of the month.  Spring wheat futures took a pause from their large run over the past week, finishing the day down 5 but still 95 cents higher from last Thursday. There wasn't much for news today except for the weekly ethanol report.  Production was up 23k bpd and stocks were up 608k bbls from the week prior.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...