6/4/2021

Jun 04, 2021


6/4/2021
A strong finish to end the week with new crop corn and soybeans looking to set up a possible run at the current contract highs.  Soybeans were the price leader today, closing 33 higher on the day and 53 higher for the week, with the trade focus continuing to be weather and now reports of farmers in North Dakota simply parking their planters and trying to decide if they should burn the fuel and plant for crop insurance.  Corn was the beneficiary of spillover support from the soybeans and higher than expected weekly net export sales with 531k tonnes of old crop corn sold (400k top estimated).  The July corn contract finishes 26 higher from the previous week's close.  Soybean sales were within estimates with 18k tonnes sold.  Argentina corn harvest is currently estimated at 34% complete and is yielding better than expected.  Makes a person wonder if the Brazil corn crop is really that bad?  Much of the US corn growing area needs a good drink but with modern genetics, corn can thrive while lacking moisture.  Seasonally, our December contract high is set sometime around mid-June and steadily declines into expiration.  We are also approaching the time to be sold out of old crop, don't fall victim to the market inverse and make sure you have everything priced to be delivered against the July futures. 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...