6/6/2022

Jun 06, 2022


6/6/2022
Trade was all about headlines today.  Corn picked up double-digits out to July 2023 and soybeans finished 1-7 higher after a day of mixed trade.  Wheat was sharply higher from the start last night, carrying corn and soybeans with it during the overnight session after it was reported that Russia had executed a targeted strike on a major Ukrainian grain export terminal.  Soybeans had cooled off by sunrise but corn continued to trade strong through the day.  Weekly export inspections were on the high end of estimates for corn at 1.435 million tonnes inspected last week.  Soybeans were a miss at 350k tonnes inspected compared to the 400-600k tonne range of estimates.  The current corn shipment pace exceeds the pace necessary to meet the USDA target by 98 million bushels, compared to 99 million bushels last week.  Soybean shipments to date fall short of the pace needed to meet the USDA target by 27 million bushels versus 26 million bushels last week.  The USDA is expected to release the first condition ratings for corn this afternoon alongside the planting progress.  Trade averaged a 68% good/excellent rating on corn and 93% planting completed.  Soybeans are expected to be 80% planted.  Current weather forecasts are extremely favorable to help planting and crop development and will likely keep some pressure on the markets now.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...