7/11/2024

Jul 11, 2024


The markets looked promising overnight and showed some strength going into the morning break. Corn was holding steady in the range of 5-8 cents higher and soybeans were flexing a solid bounce of 7-11 cents higher. Soybeans had held off a couple early waves of selling but eventually caved, flipping red on the front end at midday. A late push brought us to finish just on the green side of unchanged. This price action in soybeans pulled wheat and corn off of their daily highs but we were able to close with some modest gains of 2-3 cents in corn and wheat finished a solid day with some double-digit gains. Weekly export sales were mid-range for old crop corn with 538k tonnes sold. Old crop beans were on the low side of expectations with 208k tonnes sold. Sales pace for corn improved 9 mln bu this week to a 74-million-bushel surplus. Soybean sales pace remained unchanged at a 50 million bushel short-fall. The July WASDE report will be out at 11 a.m. tomorrow. With the extreme oversold conditions and the record short position in funds, this report is getting a little more attention than it normally would. Trade will be focused mostly on any change to the U.S. crop yields and Brazil production.

Record net short position for corn…

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...