7/12/2022

Jul 12, 2022


7/12/2022
Selling was the theme across the broad market space today and the USDA gave money no reason to come back in. Grains, crude oil, and other commodities were deep in the red today. Funds have put into motion an interesting strategy: looking to flip their position short while most of the world is convinced there will be a food shortage. With South America having a huge corn crop and likely a lot more soybeans than we were ever really told along with wheat crops around the globe far exceeding expected yields, the market is realizing that our issues are not crop production and our real issues are in the logistics of getting crops where they are needed. Also, the USDA reports are finally acknowledging that high U.S. prices have hurt demand.

July WASDE; Decrease in feed and residual for corn which netted a 25 million bushel increase in ending stocks. 2021/22 soybean crushings cut 10 million bushels with that change reflected ending stocks.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...