7/15/2021

Jul 15, 2021


7/15/2021
Corn and soybean trade was quiet overnight and throughout the day, staying within the relatively moderate daily ranges of 10 cents in corn and 20 cents in soybeans.  A lot of focus has been on put on the sudden return of hot and dry weather to the western corn belt with most wondering if the eastern corn belt can make up for it.  In my opinion, for whatever that is worth, given the current conditions at this stage of the game, the eastern corn belt can still do that.  Out of the top five corn producing states, Minnesota is the only one trade is looking at to suffer a significant yield loss due to lack of precipitation, the other 4 are in fine shape.  NOPA soybean crush for June was reported today, posting a number of 152.41 mln bushels, well below the average trade guess of 159.48 and the low estimate of 155.5.  This was the lowest monthly volume since June of 2019.  Processors saw tighter supplies and higher raw material cost as an opportunity to perform service and maintenance.  The weekly export sales for last week didn't offer much for excitement.  Routine sales of 139k tonnes of old crop corn and 22k tonnes of old crop beans; both on the bottom side of the estimates.  New crop sales were poor with 133k tonnes of corn and 126k tonnes of wheat both below the low estimate.  New crop soybeans crept into their target range with 291k tonnes sold.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.