7/15/2021

Jul 15, 2021


7/15/2021
Corn and soybean trade was quiet overnight and throughout the day, staying within the relatively moderate daily ranges of 10 cents in corn and 20 cents in soybeans.  A lot of focus has been on put on the sudden return of hot and dry weather to the western corn belt with most wondering if the eastern corn belt can make up for it.  In my opinion, for whatever that is worth, given the current conditions at this stage of the game, the eastern corn belt can still do that.  Out of the top five corn producing states, Minnesota is the only one trade is looking at to suffer a significant yield loss due to lack of precipitation, the other 4 are in fine shape.  NOPA soybean crush for June was reported today, posting a number of 152.41 mln bushels, well below the average trade guess of 159.48 and the low estimate of 155.5.  This was the lowest monthly volume since June of 2019.  Processors saw tighter supplies and higher raw material cost as an opportunity to perform service and maintenance.  The weekly export sales for last week didn't offer much for excitement.  Routine sales of 139k tonnes of old crop corn and 22k tonnes of old crop beans; both on the bottom side of the estimates.  New crop sales were poor with 133k tonnes of corn and 126k tonnes of wheat both below the low estimate.  New crop soybeans crept into their target range with 291k tonnes sold.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...