7/16/2024

Jul 16, 2024


Soybeans are now priced off of the November futures.  Corn and soybeans enjoyed a day of higher trade and posted modest gains of 2-5 cents.  The weekly crop ratings report was unchanged from the previous week with corn and soybeans remaining at 68% good/excellent.  Overall, it was a quiet trade day.  There were no USDA reports or announcements today and no headlines or news overnight so we can probably view this as simply a correctional bounce after Monday's sharp move lower.  In our opinion, corn needs to fight hard and hold over this 393'0 level or there's another 30 cents of downside risk in the cards.  There is a similar story in soybeans.  The market needs to hold above the current lows or risk going down into the 9's.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.