7/2/2021

Jul 02, 2021


7/2/2021
Corn and beans traded either side of unchanged evenly in 20-25 cent ranges and go into the holiday weekend predictably lower with lighter volume and profit taking after Wednesday's big move higher.  Soybeans were supported solely by the soyoil trade today.  Also adding some pressure to the market was some new light showers scattered across the grain belt in the 7-10 day forecast, meaning a big national yield is still possible.  Seasonally, we would expect markets to start downtrending after the 4th and into harvest but with a fairly tight old crop inventory and a dry western corn belt, markets have more underlying support than they normally would this time of year.  All around a really light news day with a lot of the traders out of the game for the week.  Weekly closes: cash corn 60 cents higher, new crop corn up 65 cents, cash soybeans $1.21/bu higher, new crop soybeans up $1.35/bu.  Everyone have a safe and fun 4th of July weekend and we will chat again next week!  Happy Birthday, America!

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Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu.