7/25/2023

Jul 25, 2023


7/25/2023
Corn and soybeans looked like they were going to continue marching higher following the overnight open but had flipped to red by midnight.  December corn traded down to 15 cents lower and November soybeans as much as 22 cents lower before climbing back towards unchanged throughout the day.  Corn ranged from 2-3 cents lower and soybeans 4-5 cents lower at the close.  This solid recovery off the daily lows for both offers a strong/friendly look on the charts.  Immediate risk premium (weather/Russia) is priced in for now and corn needs to close above the 200-day moving averages to continue higher.  November soybeans matched a 14-month high yesterday and is still within 16 cents of that level after today's session.  The USDA weekly crop conditions report was mostly as expected.  Corn conditions remained unchanged at 57% good/excellent and soybeans seen as good/excellent was lowered 1 point to 54%.  Overall, Tuesday was slow for market news but river traffic has reportedly resumed along the Danube, just one day after supposed heavy Russian bombing.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...