7/27/2022

Jul 27, 2022


7/27/2022
Corn and soybeans continue to climb through the mid-week point.  Trade shook off some overnight weakness to post modest gains of 2-3 cents in corn and soybeans put together their third consecutive double-digit higher close.  Fundamentals remain almost entirely unchanged from last week.  This week's rally in corn and soybeans is simply money trading some extended weather outlooks for the beginning of August.  Demand is stagnant and overall, the U.S. crop is probably not as bad as some want others to believe.  Weekly ethanol data showed output and stocks both off from last week with a 13,000 barrel/day decline in production to 1.02 million bpd and 225,000 barrels off of the stock number to 23.33 million barrels.  Brazil's second crop is reported to be 62% complete by AgRural (53% last week, 39% last year).  This rally in soybeans provides an excellent opportunity to unload any old crop still left unpriced.  At the very least, fixing basis on any remaining unpriced old crop corn or soybeans, either in the bin or on storage in town, is recommended.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...