8/13/2021

Aug 13, 2021


8/13/2021
Yesterday's WASDE report gave the markets a shot of life with some friendly numbers after the USDA shocked the market with a 5 bu/ac cut in the 2021 corn yield compared to last month.  Corn and soybeans both finished well off their highs yesterday but follow-through buying supported the market today.  Soybeans failed to break higher on yesterday's report but corn did break out of its 4-week trading range.  Trade is unwilling to test current highs and long-term consolidation remains intact with corn and beans both finishing the week near the mid-points of their multi-month trading ranges.  A few important things to watch going forward from here are crop finishing rains, how the current US grain prices compare globally and how they may affect future export sales, and the FSA's initial acre report implying that it is likely the USDA still has corn and soybean acres understated.  September corn futures finished 13 higher for the week but cash only posted a 3-cent gain from last Friday with basis beginning to slip with end-users gaining coverage ahead of harvest.  Delivered new crop corn performed well this week, posting a 17-cent gain.  Weekly close for cash beans is 19 cents higher and new crop beans picked up a healthy 34 cents on the week.  Everyone have a wonderful weekend!

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...