Grain > Commentary > 8-17-2021

8/17/2021

Aug 17, 2021

8/17/2021
Overnight trade was two-sided but quiet and faded lower throughout the day session.  Yesterday's drop in good/excellent crop condition ratings of 2% in corn and 3% in soybeans was unexpected but did not shock trade.  ProFarmer tour is making its way through Nebraska and Indiana today and early reports are showing some impressive crops out there and receiving most of the credit for the sell pressure on the market today.  USDA made a couple 8am sales announcements this morning with 198,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for the 2021/22 marketing year and 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to unknown also for the 21/22 marketing year.  Weekly export inspections from yesterday were just snuck in just above the bottom estimates with 667k tonnes of corn and 114k tonnes of soybeans inspected.  Both are close to the pace needed to meet the USDA's yearly target but have fallen off drastically over the past month.

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3/31/2025
Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
3/11/2025
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
8/30/2024
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...