8/23/2021

Aug 23, 2021


8/23/2021
After some big down days to finish last week, corn and soybeans found some stability on Monday.  Corn closed slightly lower but was able to trade higher for a portion of the day, garnering support from a sharply weaker dollar and Brazil corn being a premium.  Good weekend rains in the north west region of the grain belt and rumors of the EPA recommending a lower bio-fuel mandate stemmed any real momentum in corn on the day.  Soybeans improved a couple pennies today on some spillover support from crude and soybean oil.  US soybeans are currently around 50 cents/bushel cheaper than Brazil.  August sales have totaled over 90 million bushels so far and today was the first day in the past 12 that we did not see a daily export sale to China flashed.  The USDA did confirm a sale this morning, though, of 458,600 tonnes (18 million bushels) of corn to Mexico for the 2021/22 marketing year.  Weekly export inspections were right in line with trade range estimates with 725k tonnes of corn and 214k tonnes of soybeans inspected.  Wheat outperformed expectations with 658k tonnes inspected for export vs the top estimate of 575k tonnes.  This past weekend's rain totaled 1.75" at the elevator in Murdock.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.