8/24/2021

Aug 24, 2021


8/24/2021
Another turn-around Tuesday with corn and soybeans both the beneficiary of big technical bounces higher after last week's steep losses of around 35 cents in corn and 70 cents in soybeans.  Selling into these rallies is a great approach and it was good to see some fresh new crop business done today for delivery into the elevator this fall.  The USDA confirmed two export sales for the 2021/22 marketing year with 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to China and 125,300 tonnes of corn to Mexico.  It seems the PNW market had some more life throughout today and it wouldn't be a surprise to see the USDA confirm additional sales as we progress through the week.  Weekly crop progress conditions were adjusted lower for corn than what trade was expecting with the crop seen as 60% good/excellent (61% estimated, 62% last week, 64% last year).  Soybean condition at 56% g/e was on target with trade expectations (57% last week, 69% last year).  We are moving into a time of the year that can be a gray area in terms of the crop condition ratings having weight on the market as the crop closes in on full maturity.  Silage cutting is well underway with our area, reports have varied but averages seems to be hanging in the lower 20's for tonnage/acre.  Another 1.3" of rain in Murdock last night/this morning.

Read More News

Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.