8/24/2021

Aug 24, 2021


8/24/2021
Another turn-around Tuesday with corn and soybeans both the beneficiary of big technical bounces higher after last week's steep losses of around 35 cents in corn and 70 cents in soybeans.  Selling into these rallies is a great approach and it was good to see some fresh new crop business done today for delivery into the elevator this fall.  The USDA confirmed two export sales for the 2021/22 marketing year with 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to China and 125,300 tonnes of corn to Mexico.  It seems the PNW market had some more life throughout today and it wouldn't be a surprise to see the USDA confirm additional sales as we progress through the week.  Weekly crop progress conditions were adjusted lower for corn than what trade was expecting with the crop seen as 60% good/excellent (61% estimated, 62% last week, 64% last year).  Soybean condition at 56% g/e was on target with trade expectations (57% last week, 69% last year).  We are moving into a time of the year that can be a gray area in terms of the crop condition ratings having weight on the market as the crop closes in on full maturity.  Silage cutting is well underway with our area, reports have varied but averages seems to be hanging in the lower 20's for tonnage/acre.  Another 1.3" of rain in Murdock last night/this morning.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...