8/28/2023

Aug 28, 2023


Corn and soybeans gap higher at the Sunday night open and hold through Monday to complete gains of 5-8 cents in corn and 11-18 cents in soybeans.  That trade was fueled simply by weather forecasts.  Wheat was the lone sore spot in grains, with losses of 4-16 cents across different classes.  The USDA made two sale announcements this morning, confirming 123,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Mexico and 296,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown, both for the 2023/24 marketing year.  Weekly export inspections came in above expectations for corn with 597k tonnes shipped.  Soybean inspections were midrange at 322k tonnes.  ProFarmer's final yields for their crop tour were released late Friday with 172.0 bu/ac for corn and 49.7 bu/ac for soybeans.  This would work out to 2.185 bln bu corn carryout for the 2023/24 marketing year but would create some very tight stocks for soybeans.  This rally has created some optimism going into harvest but with record production in Brazil, up-side potential is limited.  Corn has been reluctant to follow soybeans over the past 3 weeks.  While Nov soybean futures have rallied 80 cents in that timeframe, Dec corn remains virtually unchanged.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...