8/5/2021

Aug 05, 2021


8/5/2021
Corn tacks on another day of range trade with the front month continuing to bounce around between the 540 and 560 marks.  Soybeans improved a few notches for the second consecutive day after a sharply lower move earlier in the week.  We had a little more of an active day of trading news with weekly export sales report showing all net positives for old and new crop.  Last week, we netted 68k tonnes of old crop corn sold and 11k tonnes of old crop beans.  New crop sales put together another solid week with 425k tonnes of new crop beans sold and new crop corn out performing expectations with 830k tonnes sold.  We also had an 8am announcement from the USDA this morning of 300,000 tonnes (11 mln bushels) of soybeans sold to unknown for the 2021/2022 marketing year.  With harvest not terribly far away, we are recommending those with hedge-to-arrive sales to take a look at current basis and consider what it may do when grain begins to move.  Study the carry that has developed in the corn market, as well, there is some opportunity to be had with rolling hedges out.  Last night's chance of rain was a bad miss but it appears the chance of rain early Saturday morning is stable for now.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...