9/11/2023

Sep 11, 2023


Corn and soybeans start the week with higher finishes in modest fashion.  Corn closed up 2-3 cents and soybeans 5-7 cents higher.  Trade was two-sided throughout the session but there was the appearance of some simple positioning ahead of tomorrow's WASDE report where analysts expect the USDA to make some cuts to the 2023 crop yields.  The USDA confirmed the sale of 185,000 tonnes of soybean meal for delivery to the Philippines during the 2023/24 marketing year.  The weekly export inspections report showed corn at the upper end of expectations with 624k tonnes shipped but soybeans on the low side at 310k tonnes inspected.

Corn has been consolidating on the chart since the Aug WASDE report and is set up for a possible breakout following tomorrow’s report at 11 a.m. 

 

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Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu.