9/13/2021

Sep 13, 2021


9/13/2021
Today was quiet as the market continues to digest the USDA report from Friday. We traded slightly lower most of the session with nothing much to talk about. We did have another 132,000 metric ton of beans sold to unknown announced this morning. Early yield reports are starting to trickle in, but it is too early to form a bias. Most of the beans are still a week or two away in our neck of the woods. The later maturity crops should be better than the early maturity this year, as those late rains should have been more beneficial. I am not ready to throw in the towel by those disappointed on the early crops thus far. Basis remains stout on the new crop corn and beans. These are the best numbers I have seen since 2007 when I started merchandising. If you have Hedge to Arrives I would take a look at locking in basis if you need to haul at harvest. If you have room in the bin I would be thinking about rolling them out at this time. Carries are also about as wide as we have seen them. I am not expecting large carries again this year.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...