9/15/2020

Sep 15, 2020


9/15/2020
Beans failed to make a new high today for the first time in what feels like forever.  We are overdue for a correction in the bean market as the market feels over bought for now.  The question now is if this a one-day correction or a couple week correction?  I am not ready to write off this bean rally just yet and say it’s over because export business remains stellar.  We had some more sales announcements this morning.  132,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to China, 132,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to unknown, and 120,000 metric tons of corn for delivery to unknown.  There are a couple bearish factors however at the moment which include more covid headlines, the August crush was less than expected, and harvest is fast approaching which should add some pressure.  Politics are also starting to get more headlines as of late so that is always dangerous especially in an election year.  Hearing some may be rolling with some early beans, but for the most part were 10 days away yet.  I would keep selling into this bean market and continue to scale up if you are under sold.  We are still only 17 cents off the highs. 
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...