9/16/2022

Sep 16, 2022


9/16/2022
Corn and soybeans spent the overnight session in the red but found a bid at their 20-day moving averages shortly after the 8:30 re-open.  Markets were somewhat steady after the mid-day point, making for a quiet second half of the session.  News was very limited today and we had no USDA announcements or reports.  Early soybean harvest has started in Iowa/Southern Minnesota and crushers have become somewhat erratic with their cash bids, backing off once a day or more, as more combines begin to roll.  Soybean board prices faded through the rest of the week from Monday's high, likely some early harvest pressure on the market.  This pressure will increase as the new crop supply increases and weather forecasts look encouraging to continue pushing our crop towards full maturity.  NOPA members reported 165.54 million bushels of soybeans processed during August.  This was down from 170.22 in July and slightly below the average trade guess.  Week-to-week, December corn is down 7 cents and November soybeans gained 36 cents.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.