9/17/2020

Sep 17, 2020


9/17/2020
More sales were announced and the rumors still continue.  Grain markets broke lower about 7:00 am going into the coffee break with corn down 3 and beans down 5.  Then the 8:00 am announcements came out and confirmed some of yesterday's rumors.  264,000 MT of beans to China, 360,500 MT to Unknown, and then a dab of corn of 120,000 MT to Unknown.  Grains then battled back to near unchanged from the 8:30 open until 9:30 and then the fireworks began.  Corn put in a new high for the move as it follows beans at 3.77 December futures.  Beans put in another new high as well at 10.3225 November futures before closing about a nickel off the highs.  Selling picked up on both corn and beans today as corn hit 3.25 cash and beans broke the 9.50 cash level.  It is truly incredible how much power these funds have once they decide to play.  Just remember how fast they can change their mind.  Continue to make sales on the way up, so we don't miss the boat.  I am not sure I can say that enough at this point.  This is a risky business to say the least, so make sure you’re doing what’s best for your business. 
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
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