9/17/2020

Sep 17, 2020


9/17/2020
More sales were announced and the rumors still continue.  Grain markets broke lower about 7:00 am going into the coffee break with corn down 3 and beans down 5.  Then the 8:00 am announcements came out and confirmed some of yesterday's rumors.  264,000 MT of beans to China, 360,500 MT to Unknown, and then a dab of corn of 120,000 MT to Unknown.  Grains then battled back to near unchanged from the 8:30 open until 9:30 and then the fireworks began.  Corn put in a new high for the move as it follows beans at 3.77 December futures.  Beans put in another new high as well at 10.3225 November futures before closing about a nickel off the highs.  Selling picked up on both corn and beans today as corn hit 3.25 cash and beans broke the 9.50 cash level.  It is truly incredible how much power these funds have once they decide to play.  Just remember how fast they can change their mind.  Continue to make sales on the way up, so we don't miss the boat.  I am not sure I can say that enough at this point.  This is a risky business to say the least, so make sure you’re doing what’s best for your business. 
 

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.