9/20/2021

Sep 20, 2021


9/20/2021
A sea of red across the markets and exchanges with a macro risk-off day to start the week.  Most commodities, including grain, coffee, and livestock, saw some significant losses throughout the day.  Stock indexes also suffered from a sell-off.  As of about 1:20pm, the DOW was trading down 850 points, the NASDAQ down 430 points, and the S&P down 105 points.  There was no daily export sale announcement from the USDA this morning.  China is currently on a holiday so most aren't surprised but anything announced this morning would have most likely been purchased Thursday or Friday last week.  Export inspections perked up last week, meaning terminals in the gulf are coming back into service after Hurricane Ida left many of them damaged.  Volumes were still within trade range estimates but it was good to see that export capacity is recovering.  Last week, 403k tonnes of corn, 275k tonnes of soybeans, and 563k tonnes of wheat were inspected for export.  Locally, soybean harvest is just beginning to ramp up and early reports average in the 50-55 bushels per acre range.  Renville area reported some soybeans in the 60-70 bpa range.  No specific numbers on early corn yields in our area but has been "better than expected."

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...